Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.168205 4.481260 4.816801 5.204982 5.643959 6.127693 6.704819
2025-06-01 3.603697 4.027987 4.511935 5.111655 5.844807 6.725539 7.885472
2025-06-08 3.302315 3.789663 4.369949 5.125540 6.105081 7.365192 9.169161
2025-06-15 3.109839 3.643659 4.301508 5.193795 6.410067 8.073267 10.648915
2025-06-22 2.858144 3.394809 4.071462 5.015122 6.347396 8.251640 11.381579
2025-06-29 2.672574 3.212134 3.906149 4.898215 6.344192 8.498059 12.248801
2025-07-06 2.525171 3.066577 3.775347 4.811193 6.365655 8.772602 13.206670
2025-07-13 2.417478 2.965200 3.694586 4.784024 6.467366 9.179703 14.485385
2025-07-20 2.359308 2.925543 3.693887 4.869788 6.748259 9.919544 16.595619
2025-07-27 2.311846 2.896587 3.704482 4.970604 7.061413 10.764252 19.201198
2025-08-03 2.240399 2.829570 3.655038 4.973038 7.208081 11.325400 21.369469
2025-08-10 2.152650 2.734840 3.559035 4.893555 7.202880 11.589646 22.899826
2025-08-17 2.053466 2.622176 3.434575 4.766215 7.112252 11.693945 24.133109
2025-08-24 1.973245 2.533876 3.342715 4.686684 7.102639 11.972924 26.031796
2025-08-31 1.922398 2.485693 3.308433 4.699000 7.263570 12.651113 29.557296
2025-09-07 1.886739 2.457800 3.303067 4.758634 7.520793 13.604151 34.731644
2025-09-14 1.803794 2.356163 3.177779 4.602452 7.335116 13.463497 35.631069
2025-09-21 1.738314 2.278335 3.086497 4.500043 7.248258 13.555762 37.626291
2025-09-28 1.682865 2.213524 3.012798 4.423701 7.206708 13.756496 40.304313
2025-10-05 1.642114 2.169469 2.970138 4.399847 7.271943 14.253441 44.942501
2025-10-12 1.624467 2.159816 2.982060 4.475115 7.556616 15.423557 54.871348
2025-10-19 1.610157 2.154564 3.000580 4.563475 7.881481 16.812233 69.132844
2025-10-26 1.579791 2.123167 2.974367 4.565607 8.011176 17.645093 81.431128